Documenting RB value changes on cutdown day
Rankings changes, plus a few more mailbag questions
Got a few good questions just in the time since yesterday’s Mailbag Monday that I wanted to hit on, so let’s start there, then let’s talk about the big cutdown day news and what it means for your drafts here over the final week.
From Clayton via Substack:
It’s weird that a Chiefs WR or RB hasn’t been the clear "THE GUY" out of camp or preseason games and I feel like those are two huge question marks headed into the season. This projects as one of the best offenses in the league and the only two sure things are Mahomes and Kelce (who isn't getting any younger). I love Skyy Moore and Jerick McKinnon as much as any other RotoViz/Stealing Signals sub but I’m so confused about how this team is even going to look.
It seems like a gross rotation is likely early on in the year at RB and WR but eventually someone’s going to lift and separate and become a league-winner. What do you think?
I probably haven’t talked enough about chaos this offseason, but I had the post last year that so many people enjoyed where I wrote about the show Loki and how the timeline branches and then you have this whole new set of realities that would inform our decisions. One of the hardest things during the preseason is understanding how much we are going to be wrong about.
Definitely the idea someone could separate is a big reason to be on these guys. The thing about uncertainty going into the season is the teams that feel certain are also going to feel like this at some point in-season. With the Chiefs, that uncertainty creates discounts, but with other teams, the certainty that feels like it’s there will prove to be just a facade. It’s one of the most important lessons I can impart. Judge the potential of the hit more than your ability to predict what might happen. So many people in fantasy football are just drafting based on how comfortable they are about something, rather than what they would get if they were right.
From Michael via Substack:
When you are drafting for a Main Event or something similar, do you have separate rankings you use that group players into one long list? Or are you just checking ADP, deciding which position you want to target in a specific spot of the draft and making picks from there? Trying to conceptualize how to best utilize the rankings in a live draft environment. Thanks!