Fantastic read Ben. One thought it inspired is how much more difficult the predictive work and data cleaning is for analysts who might have a point that applies to a 1-2-2-1-1 starting half ppr league, but not to a 1-2-3-1-1 full ppr (let alone SF or TEP). It gave me a bit more sympathy for the analysts you gently criticize above, and also reminded me of how much work is on us, the readers and players, to apply the analysis to our specific league.
Fwiw, I really appreciate your commitment to talking through principles of strategy as it is much more applicable than “I analyzed 5000 years of data and it says you must alternate RB and WR for the first 10 picks unless you can select Gronk” 🤣
This is probably too specific, but given how some of the upside is capped with the round 3 wideouts (G Wilson, Marvin Harrison, JSN) due to offensive environments.
How are you playing it in the third if you start Gibbs Bowers for example? If I’m thinking upside I may just go Lamar or Allen but may miss my chance to add enough fire power at WR. I am really struggling with the third round this year
Great post. I’m new around here, so still wrapping my head around some of the basics. With the late round rookie RBs, how do I square the idea that most picks will be cut with the fact that the bet is on their progressive accumulation of volume throughout the season? Feels like I’ll be stuck holding on for several weeks and they could become roster cloggers too.
This one really resonated as I won my league last year vs. a team that had Saquon and Derrick Henry. But that RB room could not hang with the week 17 upside/rookie profiles I hit on (Daniels, Ladd, Higgins, McMillan, Tracy).
If there's anything I've taken away from your content over the years is that I should always be drafting for upside... and along the way I've gotten better at fantasy as I've become more comfortable being uncomfortable week one, i.e. walking away from a draft with a team that feels like it could come in dead last given the lack of early volume... but those types of upside bets are ultimately how I won back-to-back! Appreciate you.
Fantastic read Ben. One thought it inspired is how much more difficult the predictive work and data cleaning is for analysts who might have a point that applies to a 1-2-2-1-1 starting half ppr league, but not to a 1-2-3-1-1 full ppr (let alone SF or TEP). It gave me a bit more sympathy for the analysts you gently criticize above, and also reminded me of how much work is on us, the readers and players, to apply the analysis to our specific league.
Fwiw, I really appreciate your commitment to talking through principles of strategy as it is much more applicable than “I analyzed 5000 years of data and it says you must alternate RB and WR for the first 10 picks unless you can select Gronk” 🤣
This is probably too specific, but given how some of the upside is capped with the round 3 wideouts (G Wilson, Marvin Harrison, JSN) due to offensive environments.
How are you playing it in the third if you start Gibbs Bowers for example? If I’m thinking upside I may just go Lamar or Allen but may miss my chance to add enough fire power at WR. I am really struggling with the third round this year
Hitting on this in today's post.
Great post. I’m new around here, so still wrapping my head around some of the basics. With the late round rookie RBs, how do I square the idea that most picks will be cut with the fact that the bet is on their progressive accumulation of volume throughout the season? Feels like I’ll be stuck holding on for several weeks and they could become roster cloggers too.
Reply to this coming in today's post.
Great read, Ben. Thank you.
This one really resonated as I won my league last year vs. a team that had Saquon and Derrick Henry. But that RB room could not hang with the week 17 upside/rookie profiles I hit on (Daniels, Ladd, Higgins, McMillan, Tracy).
If there's anything I've taken away from your content over the years is that I should always be drafting for upside... and along the way I've gotten better at fantasy as I've become more comfortable being uncomfortable week one, i.e. walking away from a draft with a team that feels like it could come in dead last given the lack of early volume... but those types of upside bets are ultimately how I won back-to-back! Appreciate you.